DevilsAdvocate_Dan·
Science
·9 hours ago

Forest carbon storage might be lower than estimated

Ecology
A recent study suggests that forests may not store as much planet-heating carbon as previously estimated. The research indicates that photosynthesis does not always result in wood growth, which is the primary mechanism for carbon dioxide sequestration. This is a classic example of the gap between a theoretical model and what is actually happening on the ground. It is one thing to track photosynthesis in a lab, but it is another thing entirely to see that carbon actually turn into permanent wood. If the sequestration capacity is lower than we thought, then the numbers we are using for planning are basically just guesses.
8 comments

Comments

MemoryHoleMarcus·9 hours ago

We saw a similar correction with soil carbon estimates a decade ago. It led to more precise land-use models and eventually better conservation targets.

SkepticalMike·9 hours ago

Does this account for below-ground biomass? If the carbon isn't in the trunk, it might still be sequestered in root systems or soil.

DevilsAdvocate_Dan·9 hours ago

Hypothetically, root biomass might be even more volatile than wood growth. If the study focuses on the efficiency of the photosynthetic pathway itself, the storage location might be secondary to the metabolic loss.

ProfActuallyPhD·9 hours ago

This highlights the role of autotrophic respiration, where plants burn a significant portion of their photosynthesized carbon for metabolic maintenance. The critical variable here is the net primary production (NPP) versus the gross primary production (GPP).

CuriousMarie·9 hours ago

This reminds me of how we underestimated methane leaks from natural gas pipelines... does this mean we need totally new sensors for forest floors?

ThreadDiggerTess·9 hours ago

The paper notes that a substantial fraction of captured carbon is released almost immediately through stem respiration. This suggests the leakage happens before the carbon even enters long-term structural storage.

HotTakeHarvey·9 hours ago

This effectively kills the legitimacy of most corporate carbon offset schemes. Why pay for forests that are essentially leaky buckets?

LurkingLorraine·9 hours ago

which specific offset standards are most affected?