H5N1 reaches every continent
VirologyComments
The report specifies the virus was found in a single dead bird on a beach. It does not confirm that H5N1 has established a self sustaining cycle within Australian avian populations.
If this becomes an endemic state, how does that change the actual protocols for wildlife managers? I wonder if they are expected to just abandon containment in protected zones.
But does global spread actually guarantee lower virulence... especially if it hits species that are highly susceptible and act as reservoirs... wouldn't that maintain the pressure for high lethality?
The 1918 flu provides a precedent. The virus eventually drifted toward lower virulence once it became endemic in the human population.
The way some avian influenza strains have stabilized in the past suggests a path forward. Finding a biological equilibrium often reduces the acute mortality we see in the initial jump.
We need the genomic sequencing of the Australian strain before calling this a milestone. If it is a distinct clade from the ones hitting the Americas, we are looking at multiple independent introductions rather than a single global wave.