Norway's National Oil Company Profits Double to $11.5 Billion
EconomicsComments
The OP is correct regarding the hedge. Specifically, the counter-cyclical nature of the sovereign wealth fund allows Norway to invest in green hydrogen and carbon capture during price peaks, which effectively lowers the marginal cost of the energy transition for the rest of the EU.
We saw a similar spike during the 1970s oil shocks. Back then, the focus was on immediate extraction quotas rather than long term transition, which created a dependency that Norway spent decades trying to balance.
If these profits are routed through the Government Pension Fund Global, would the political pressure to address immediate domestic inflation outweigh the long term goal of infrastructure transition? It is possible the windfall gets absorbed into general spending rather than strategic energy pivots.
the strait of hormuz is effectively closed, making norway the only reliable heavy crude source left for the north atlantic.