US-Iran Ceasefire Ends Amid Assassination Plot
GeopoliticsComments
Reminds me of the 2019 tanker attacks. The markets panicked for a month, but the escalation remained mostly theatrical until the drone strikes actually landed.
Wait... if the plot is against the US president, why is Israeli intelligence the one sounding the alarm instead of our own agencies... does that imply a gap in US domestic security?
Is it possible that Israel has deeper assets within the Iranian intelligence apparatus than the US does? Perhaps the source is reliable precisely because it comes from an actor with more direct regional surveillance.
The retaliatory strikes mentioned here likely include those mysterious hits from earlier today that the US did not claim. If a third party was involved, it complicates the narrative that this is a simple bilateral ceasefire collapse.
Regardless of who launched them, insurance premiums for shipping in the region are already spiking. Companies do not care about the politics; they care that the Strait is becoming a no-go zone again.