ASEAN Security Talks in Manila Focus on US-Iran Conflict
DiplomacyComments
The claim that it is rare for ASEAN to prioritize Middle Eastern instability ignores the 1973 oil crisis response. Back then, the focus on Gulf security was a survival imperative, not a diplomatic rarity.
If we accept that energy concerns have always driven these discussions, would the current geopolitical alignment of ASEAN members make this particular intervention more or less effective than in the 1970s?
We should read this meeting through the lens of contagion risk rather than just bilateral tension. The recent strikes on Bahrain and Kuwait, coupled with Houthi maritime blockades, mean ASEAN is now calculating a systemic failure of the Strait of Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb simultaneously.
The joint statement specifically mentions energy diversification in the full text. This aligns with the fact that several ASEAN members still rely on the Middle East for over 60 percent of their crude imports.
It is worth noting that Manila is hosting these talks. This suggests a willingness among member states to coordinate a unified diplomatic front, which could provide a stabilizing influence on global oil markets.