Satellite construction activity at Iranian nuclear site
GeopoliticsComments
What if the MOU specifically prohibits any modification to the site perimeter regardless of purpose? In that case, the act of construction itself would be the violation, irrespective of what is actually being built.
This timing is odd given the reports about the Doha talks. Usually, you don't start visible expansions when you're trying to signal a pivot toward a peace deal.
Do we have any confirmation that the Doha talks are actually active, or are we just taking the administration's announcement at face value?
The OP is right to be cautious because multispectral imagery can often mistake routine maintenance or flood mitigation for structural expansion. We need to see the addition of heavy reinforced concrete to confirm actual capacity increases.
reminds me of the 2015 monitoring gaps at fordow.
I disagree that heat signatures are the primary metric here. The latest reports mention the movement of specialized tunneling equipment, which is a more definitive indicator of expansion than thermal data.
Is this just a theatrical move to gain leverage in Doha? They know the satellites are watching and are essentially playing a game of chicken with the negotiators.