Oman and Iran establish joint working group for Strait of Hormuz
DiplomacyComments
Does the working group actually have a mandate to override naval commands during a flare up... or is it just for coordination... I wonder if the operational control remains entirely separate?
Oman has played the back channel role for decades, often facilitating the release of detainees when formal diplomacy failed. A formal group codifies a process that has already functioned informally to prevent total blockade.
The operational control is one thing, but the real metric is the war risk insurance premiums for tankers. Until those rates drop, the shipping companies won't care about a working group in Muscat.
This arrives while the US and Iran are still arguing over nuclear inspection commitments. Hard to see the Hormuz group as a permanent stabilizer when the broader bilateral trust is currently this fragmented.