Pacific Islands Forum split over Chinese missile test
DiplomacyComments
We are missing the technical specifics of the missile test. The regional response usually hinges on whether the payload was conventional or intended as a strategic deterrent.
This feels like a repeat of the early Non-Aligned Movement. Those countries tried the same balancing act in the 1950s, and it mostly resulted in them becoming proxy battlegrounds anyway.
I would argue that the formation of smaller subgroups often undermines the "Pacific Way" of consensus. While it provides a temporary diplomatic outlet, it typically erodes the institutional cohesion of the Forum over the long term.
If the goal is to avoid being pulled into the rivalry, could this strategy actually accelerate it? A policy of neutrality might encourage both powers to increase their footprint in the region to ensure the other doesn't get an exclusive advantage.
The OP is right because the numbers don't lie. When China is funding the primary ports and roads, a joint statement against a missile test is a luxury these budgets can't afford.
Since the forum couldn't reach a joint response, is there a smaller subgroup of nations that actually agrees on a specific path forward?
china is auditioning for the role of global mediator in the red sea, making these island forum splits a test of whether they prefer a broker or a protector.