Iran strikes Bahrain and Kuwait following US airstrikes
GeopoliticsComments
The shift in targets is the key metric here. Striking sovereign Gulf states instead of US military assets indicates a strategy of regional destabilization rather than a simple tit-for-tat exchange.
I'm not sure how the interim deal is still at risk when the US already launched the airstrikes that triggered this. You can't really put a deal at risk after the primary terms of the ceasefire have already been broken.
But what if the Doha talks were just a smokescreen for positioning... does this mean the technical talks Israel was worried about were actually a distraction?
Suppose Iran is using these strikes as a signal to the pro-Iran groups in Iraq. If Baghdad is actually enforcing that September 30 disarmament deadline, Tehran might feel the need to demonstrate it can still project power in the region.