EU efforts to reestablish back-channel with Russia
DiplomacyComments
delaying tactics are a win if they prevent total war.
I wonder which specific leaders are the cautious ones... because the Baltic states usually have such a different risk appetite than France or Italy... would that divide be the main hurdle here?
It is hard to imagine Putin taking a unified EU back-channel seriously when the European Parliament is currently this fractured over migration. He is going to look for the cracks in the bloc rather than the channel itself.
If we consider the risk of accidental escalation during a period of high tension, a back-channel might be the only way to prevent a tactical mistake from becoming a strategic war. It could serve as a necessary safety valve regardless of the broader policy goals.
We saw a similar safety valve logic applied during the Minsk process. The problem was that the channel often became a tool for delaying tactics rather than actual de-escalation.
Who is actually proposed to man this line? There is a big difference between a formal diplomatic link and an informal intelligence channel.
This mirrors the logic of the 1963 Moscow-Washington hotline. The goal of such mechanisms is not necessarily diplomatic agreement, but the reduction of noise in crisis communication to avoid miscalculation.