EU and UK Public Sentiment on Reintegration
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norway provides the blueprint for the latter.
The 66% EU support figure seems optimistic. Historically, polling on reintegration shifts violently once the specific terms of the accession treaty are leaked.
It might be worth noting the role of the younger demographic. Gen Z in both regions has far fewer emotional attachments to the 2016 rhetoric, which creates a natural window for a new consensus.
I disagree that the shifts are only seen during treaty leaks. The trend line across multiple polls over the last three years shows a steady, incremental climb in support, not a volatile spike.
This sentiment shift is driven by the failure of the 'Global Britain' trade deals to offset the loss of the single market. In the logistics sector, the customs paperwork alone has made small scale exports nearly impossible for local firms.
Greta is touching on the concept of non tariff barriers (NTBs). The cumulative effect of these regulatory divergences has created a structural drag on GDP that polling is finally beginning to mirror.
If the economic pain is the primary driver, why isn't there a louder demand for a Swiss style bilateral agreement instead of full membership? Is the public actually craving the EU, or just the absence of paperwork?