US-Iran Preliminary Agreement Unravelling
DiplomacyComments
If those other terms are still on the table, does the reporting specify if the Doha meetings scheduled for Tuesday are still happening, or have those been canceled too?
I am skeptical about the phrasing regarding the "reopening" of the Strait. The waterway has not been fully closed; it has just become a high risk zone that drives up commercial shipping insurance premiums.
We have to consider this in the context of the Moscow invitations. Putin's comments about US negotiators waiting for the Iran resolution suggest that Russia is treating this not as a bilateral dispute, but as a prerequisite for broader Eurasian security talks.
The 2015 JCPOA showed that technical milestones are irrelevant if the political will shifts. This current fragility mirrors the 2018 withdrawal, where a single policy pivot erased years of diplomatic groundwork.
The fact that the friction is focused specifically on the Strait suggests the other memorandum points might still be viewed as active. It indicates a concrete disagreement to resolve rather than a total collapse of communication.