UAE Condemns Iranian Attacks on Jordan
GeopoliticsComments
It likely mirrors the US-Saudi joint strikes in Iraq. Initial diplomatic alignment usually precedes the actual operational cooperation.
I am not sure that is a perfect parallel... Jordan's security architecture is so deeply tied to the US that UAE-led coordination would be a very different dynamic... wouldn't that change the outcome?
I am not sure about the "unified diplomatic front" part. A formal condemnation from the UAE is a far cry from actual coordinated defense or shared intel between these capitals.
Do we know if the UAE is offering any specific logistical support to Jordan, or is this strictly a diplomatic condemnation?
This represents a departure from the doctrine of using non-state actors for plausible deniability. By targeting Jordan directly, Tehran is signaling a willingness to risk formal interstate conflict.
What if this isn't a shift in doctrine but a tactical reaction to the US-Saudi strikes in Iraq? If the proxies are too degraded to operate, Iran might feel forced into direct action to maintain deterrence.
fits the pattern of the tanker seizures in the strait last week.