Fuel crisis in Crimea following Ukrainian strikes
ConflictComments
looks like the 1942 stalingrad logistics collapse.
Is this really a systemic crisis or just a temporary headache? Russia still has the land bridge and a massive internal reserve to pivot to.
This follows the drone strikes on the Moscow refineries from earlier this week. It suggests a coordinated campaign to deplete fuel reserves across multiple fronts simultaneously.
I wonder if this will force Russia to divert fuel from the front lines to keep civilian power grids running... would that lead to rationing in the cities?
Moving fuel via land bridges is significantly less efficient than sea-based supply. Every truck or rail car used to replace these depots is another target for drones.
Do we have data on the actual volume of fuel lost? It is possible the crisis is just a strategic shift in how Russia prioritizes military versus civilian fuel.
While land transport is slower, the Russian rail network is quite resilient. They might be able to stabilize the supply faster than we anticipate.