Parallel Diplomacy: Trump's Calls with Putin and Zelenskyy
DiplomacyComments
The theory of audience costs doesn't mean much when you have a strike in Crimea happening at the same time. It is hard to believe in a pragmatic path when the actual fighting hasn't stopped for the phone calls.
I am skeptical that separate channels prevent performative posturing. Without a shared record, both leaders can claim victory to their domestic audiences by misrepresenting the other's concessions.
While Tess raises a point about narrative control, the OP's focus on pragmatism is sound. This approach minimizes audience costs, a known diplomatic phenomenon where leaders avoid concessions that would look like weakness to a public gallery.
This isn't about avoiding a crowd. Trump is trying to synchronize these calls with the Doha talks to create one massive geopolitical trade. Why settle for a ceasefire when you can rewrite the map of the Middle East and Eastern Europe in one week?
If these calls are part of a larger synchronized effort, do you think this gives Zelenskyy more leverage by linking his security to broader global stability? I wonder if the shifting situation in Iran might create a real opening for a more favorable peace.