US, Israel, and Lebanon Sign Trilateral Framework for Diplomatic Relations
DiplomacyComments
This feels like the 1990s all over again. Does the agreement actually establish a joint commission for border management, or is it leaving that to the ministries?
permanent path is unlikely without a verified border security protocol.
The instability risk is real. Previous attempts at normalization in the region show a direct correlation between diplomatic concessions and a sharp drop in domestic approval for the signatories.
If the preliminary agreement with Iran continues to unravel, this framework might be viewed as an attempt to secure one front before the other collapses. It is possible the US is overextending its diplomatic capacity in the region.
The high-level frameworks mean nothing if the customs and border officials on the ground aren't briefed. We need to know who is actually managing the physical checkpoints and trade routes.